2010 is going to be a hot year for China, whether people are talking trade, the dollar, missile systems, or demographics. The 2010’s are rising in the East. For this reason and more, the time is ripe to explore China’s future and its effect on the rest of the world.
China is hot for a reason: its plan is working. Based on the above media reports, which serve to verify China’s power without real analysis, casual observers are liable to perceive a rising giant whose time has simply come.
But China's strategy is to thank for that power.
America and China are engaged in a hegemony war. Though its genesis lies in World War 2 and the Cold War, the 2000’s provide the perfect backdrop for this global competition. Neocons, seeking to achieve full-spectrum dominance over the world, are rumored to have initiated a plan in 2000, one that the Washington establishment is eager to pursue. The same can be said of China.
Both plans look something like this. At the year 2100:
1. Achieve military superiority of sea, land, air, and space
2. Control the most territory, Earth or otherwise
3. Control the most resources
4. Dominate the international community
China can say what it likes about not seeking hegemony, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing anyway. World control depends on the controller; the world seems to accept a benevolent America and despise a cruel one. The same would be true for China. Besides, this race is already in progress.
China is hot not just because of its own success, but because America has cooled off. Now Washington is dogging behind after jumping off the block, while Beijing got off to a leisurely pace. China’s non-aggression foreign policy keeps Chinese soldiers at home while exporting massive quantities of weapons. America’s strategy is roughly the opposite and it cost the lead.
In a sense China and America are like the tortoise and the hare.
For now anyway. Anything could change in 20 or 50 years. India could overtake China or America and turn the race upside down. One country may stumble and not recover. An unexpected challenger could rise up, possibly a United Africa or South America.
But as reality stands, we are compelled to analyze the future of this hegemony war, geopolitically and militarily. Especially since Earth’s arena will inevitably give way to outer-space.
“I think anyone who's familiar with the space business, and particularly the history, our history in the space business over the years, would have to be absolutely amazed at the advancements that China has made in such a short period of time,” General Kevin Chilton, head of the U.S. Strategic Command, which is in charge of the military's space operations, told CNN several months ago.
“Where they're heading, I think, is one of the things that a lot of people would like to understand better."
We're going to try.